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Qual 142014 Virginia Regional
Red52
154133.3
109515.1
34643.0
Blue63
161028.2
159830.7
210721.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions994601502002505263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#22
43.02.6
44.1→41.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.3
1598
#11
30.70.7
16.5→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1541
#37
33.33.3
30.7→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
1610
#42
28.20.7
22.5→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1095
#55
15.13.3
16.4→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
2107
#17
21.70.7
16.0→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—