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Qual 332014 Virginia Regional
Red111
447227.6
34643.0
159830.7
Blue17
494917.8
182928.7
210621.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions972805015020011117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#22
43.01.4
42.8→44.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.3
1829
#31
28.71.9
16.5→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1598
#11
30.72.0
21.9→23.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
2106
#19
21.71.9
15.4→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4472
#35
27.62.0
21.9→23.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.8
4949
#52
17.81.9
7.2→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—