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Red23
496922.5
109515.1
159921.6
Blue108
532320.0
190823.8
61722.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2946020608010012014023108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4969
#27
22.50.7
11.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1908
#18
23.85.4
15.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1599
#57
21.60.7
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
617
#49
22.85.4
13.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1095
#55
15.10.7
10.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
5323
#16
20.05.4
13.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End