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Qual 482014 Virginia Regional
Red122
240218.6
61722.8
113733.5
Blue5
494917.8
52798.7
202116.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64340501001502001225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1137
#20
33.55.3
22.0→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.7
4949
#52
17.82.8
5.4→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
617
#49
22.85.3
19.2→24.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.1
2021
#45
16.72.8
23.6→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2402
#39
18.65.3
17.5→22.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.8
5279
#54
8.72.8
9.8→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—