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Red145
387216.0
38461.1
202116.7
Blue55
126239.0
337320.1
159921.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4457010015020025014555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
61.18.2
19.327.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
1262
#23
39.00.1
24.824.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2021
#45
16.78.2
14.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1599
#57
21.60.1
12.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3872
#41
16.08.2
12.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
3373
#28
20.10.1
17.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End