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Qual 512014 Virginia Regional
Red132
330714.5
496922.5
236352.1
Blue27
12219.5
210721.7
218613.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5552010015020025030035040013227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#3
52.16.4
36.1→42.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 30.3
2107
#17
21.72.1
26.5→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4969
#27
22.56.4
10.8→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.1
122
#47
19.51.3
15.7→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3307
#43
14.56.4
7.8→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
2186
#60
13.42.1
10.5→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—