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Qual 672014 Virginia Regional
Red115
210621.7
52798.7
141863.3
Blue101
307223.7
40144.6
387216.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737220406080100120140115101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#2
63.33.5
50.4→54.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.7
401
#7
44.62.4
36.7→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2106
#19
21.73.5
15.0→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.0
3072
#21
23.72.4
17.8→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5279
#54
8.73.5
7.0→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.3
3872
#41
16.02.4
17.1→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—