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Qual 712014 Virginia Regional
Red100
210721.7
38461.1
29986.8
Blue56
202816.1
61722.8
61418.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions856305010015020010056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
61.11.5
45.5→47.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 38.3
617
#49
22.80.8
25.2→24.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2107
#17
21.71.5
25.5→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.8
614
#33
18.00.8
23.1→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2998
#63
6.81.5
10.5→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.3
2028
#40
16.10.8
17.7→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—