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Qual 762014 Virginia Regional
Red73
336114.5
205335.7
61722.8
Blue115
179320.4
159830.7
162954.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55114010015020025073115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#13
35.70.5
27.3→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.7
1629
#15
54.50.8
55.2→56.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
617
#49
22.80.7
24.3→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.9
1598
#11
30.70.8
27.3→28.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3361
#51
14.50.7
12.4→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.8
1793
#32
20.40.9
22.2→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—