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Red50
52798.7
53921.1
327416.0
Blue135
313617.7
330714.5
38461.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318305010015020050135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#48
21.10.8
16.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 40.0
384
#4
61.14.7
47.051.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3274
#56
16.00.8
12.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3136
#26
17.74.7
15.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5279
#54
8.70.9
10.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3307
#43
14.54.7
12.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End