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Qual 852014 Virginia Regional
Red112
447227.6
126239.0
238340.8
Blue51
393937.3
206827.1
171932.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078005015020011251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#14
40.80.4
39.8→40.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
3939
#8
37.32.6
35.4→32.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1262
#23
39.00.7
36.2→36.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
1719
#12
32.42.6
31.3→28.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4472
#35
27.60.7
27.1→27.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2068
#38
27.12.6
17.9→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—