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Qual 872014 Virginia Regional
Red129
42229.4
43537.7
298815.6
Blue98
307223.7
61915.0
53921.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6846020608010012014016012998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#24
37.73.2
32.1→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.9
3072
#21
23.73.5
20.2→23.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
422
#9
29.43.2
21.6→24.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.3
539
#48
21.13.5
17.6→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2988
#53
15.65.0
10.6→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
619
#59
15.03.5
11.5→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—