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Semifinal 2-22014 Virginia Regional
Red215
238340.8
43537.7
141863.3
Blue152
153345.3
236352.1
206827.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311950100200250300215152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#2
63.31.7
62.3→63.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
2363
#3
52.10.6
51.5→52.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2383
#14
40.81.3
40.0→41.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.5
1533
#5
45.30.5
44.9→45.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
435
#24
37.71.3
36.9→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.6
2068
#38
27.10.6
26.5→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—