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Red176
198347.0
131879.4
406017.7
Blue108
214722.8
204656.9
366338.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146120050100200250300350176108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.40.6
78.579.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
2046
#15
56.90.3
58.958.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47.00.6
46.246.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
38.20.3
40.239.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#22
17.70.6
16.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2147
#27
22.80.3
24.724.5
Auto
Teleop
End