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Red201
198347.0
406017.7
131879.4
Blue40
204656.9
214722.8
366338.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511805010020025030020140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.41.0
78.479.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
2046
#15
56.91.4
58.356.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47.01.0
46.047.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
38.21.4
39.638.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#22
17.71.0
16.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2147
#27
22.81.4
24.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End