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Red134
491161.5
94847.3
418015.3
Blue39
290616.7
321816.2
297624.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14343010020025013439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.1
62.562.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.1
2976
#10
24.40.3
24.724.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
#2
47.30.1
48.348.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.6
2906
#16
16.70.3
17.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4180
#34
15.30.1
16.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3218
#30
16.20.3
16.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End