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Red130
406017.7
131879.4
214722.8
Blue107
292732.0
430413.4
290761.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97870200300400130107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.41.7
67.569.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
2907
#20
61.50.9
57.158.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#27
22.81.7
22.223.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
32.00.9
23.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#22
17.71.7
5.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
4304
#29
13.40.9
7.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End