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Red135
446931.3
131879.4
491161.5
Blue102
366338.2
382618.5
204656.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160101050200250300135102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.40.8
71.370.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
2046
#15
56.90.4
56.355.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61.50.8
65.965.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.3
38.20.4
36.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
31.30.8
13.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
3826
#36
18.50.4
17.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End