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Red77
292215.3
430413.4
357430.9
Blue122
446931.3
290761.5
32218.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5487010015077122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#14
30.90.9
30.331.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.6
2907
#20
61.52.0
60.262.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2922
#28
15.30.9
17.118.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
31.32.0
13.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4304
#29
13.40.9
11.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3221
#31
8.52.0
9.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End