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Red38
292215.3
292732.0
418015.3
Blue21
304912.4
368417.2
357621.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645201001502002503821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.2
30.529.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
3576
#12
21.01.6
14.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2922
#28
15.31.2
18.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3684
#35
17.21.6
23.421.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4180
#34
15.31.2
13.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
3049
#25
12.41.6
15.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End