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Red13
368417.2
430413.4
477217.6
Blue111
198347.0
382618.5
491161.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913805010015020025013111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4772
#24
17.61.6
12.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 43.9
61.50.5
64.764.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3684
#35
17.21.6
20.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.8
47.00.5
41.140.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4304
#29
13.41.6
13.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
3826
#36
18.50.5
15.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End