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Red75
382618.5
357430.9
420530.1
Blue88
292732.0
36042.4
304912.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72870501001507588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#14
30.90.0
30.430.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
360
#11
42.40.2
42.342.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4205
#17
30.10.0
29.529.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
32.00.2
30.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3826
#36
18.50.0
14.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3049
#25
12.40.2
12.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End