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Red51
446120.8
477217.6
204656.9
Blue24
321927.1
32218.5
292215.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884801001502002505124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#15
56.91.5
51.449.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.8
3219
#23
27.11.5
24.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4461
#19
20.81.5
22.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
2922
#28
15.31.5
16.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4772
#24
17.61.5
7.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3221
#31
8.51.5
12.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End