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Red131
131879.4
304912.4
321927.1
Blue76
297624.4
36042.4
292930.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410005015020013176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.41.0
74.075.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.0
360
#11
42.41.3
43.942.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3219
#23
27.11.0
26.427.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2929
#18
30.21.3
32.631.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3049
#25
12.41.0
11.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
2976
#10
24.41.3
26.024.7
Auto
Teleop
End