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Red220
406017.7
131879.4
198347.0
Blue94
290761.5
445048.7
323714.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612505010020025030035022094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.41.4
76.277.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
2907
#20
61.50.5
62.261.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47.01.4
43.845.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
48.70.5
49.548.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#22
17.71.4
14.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3237
#33
14.40.5
15.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End