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Red195
131879.4
198347.0
406017.7
Blue115
323714.4
290761.5
445048.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142122050100200250300195115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.40.9
77.678.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
2907
#20
61.50.2
61.761.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47.00.9
45.246.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
48.70.2
48.948.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#22
17.70.9
15.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3237
#33
14.40.2
14.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End