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Red87
491161.5
94847.3
418015.3
Blue163
204656.9
366338.2
214722.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129121020030040050087163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.7
62.662.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2046
#15
56.90.7
58.559.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
#2
47.30.7
48.447.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
38.20.7
39.740.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4180
#34
15.30.7
16.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
2147
#27
22.80.7
24.325.0
Auto
Teleop
End