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Red56
322025.0
299018.6
219221.9
Blue161
457927.3
129430.5
292925.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618305010015020056161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.1
24.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
30.51.4
29.330.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.90.1
21.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
4579
#16
27.31.4
26.127.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2990
#29
18.60.1
18.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2929
#15
25.51.4
24.225.6
Auto
Teleop
End