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Red90
358842.9
457927.3
378114.2
Blue30
47728.6
25554.8
299018.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754801001502009030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.6
23.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
2990
#29
18.61.8
19.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4579
#16
27.31.6
30.131.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
4772
#27
8.61.8
23.521.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3781
#19
14.21.6
17.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
2555
#32
4.81.8
8.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End