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Red52
219221.9
457927.3
129430.5
Blue27
52959.1
292925.5
455919.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774901001502005227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.7
22.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2929
#15
25.52.2
18.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4579
#16
27.31.7
31.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
4559
#17
19.12.2
18.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
21.91.7
19.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
5295
#30
9.12.2
16.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End