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Red106
358613.8
219221.9
339366.2
Blue33
290611.1
323710.3
47728.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7844010015020025010633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.22.7
39.942.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 55.2
2906
#21
11.11.3
17.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.92.7
17.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3237
#31
10.31.3
2.10.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3586
#18
13.82.7
15.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
4772
#27
8.61.3
29.328.0
Auto
Teleop
End