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Red70
358613.8
445040.5
408911.4
Blue32
36028.6
43048.9
40607.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935101502007032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.3
46.745.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
360
#11
28.62.1
31.329.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3586
#18
13.81.3
18.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4304
#24
8.92.1
14.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4089
#13
11.41.3
20.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4060
#28
7.72.1
11.99.8
Auto
Teleop
End