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Red8
455919.1
378114.2
408911.4
Blue75
358842.9
44698.0
292723.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6377050100150200875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4559
#17
19.14.8
18.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
42.90.0
32.732.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3781
#19
14.24.8
26.922.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
2927
#10
23.50.0
32.532.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4089
#13
11.44.8
19.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4469
#26
8.00.0
9.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End