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Red120
339366.2
455919.1
40607.7
Blue21
292723.5
457927.3
47728.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708005010015012021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.23.5
52.155.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.9
4579
#16
27.34.2
29.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4559
#17
19.13.5
15.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2927
#10
23.54.2
30.226.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#28
7.73.5
4.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4772
#27
8.64.2
18.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End