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Red121
204648.5
255743.9
299018.6
Blue106
36028.6
408911.4
339366.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117110050150200250300350400121106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.3
48.448.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
66.20.3
70.069.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.90.3
49.349.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.3
360
#11
28.60.3
30.830.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2990
#29
18.60.3
18.118.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
4089
#13
11.40.3
10.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End