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Red181
406143.5
292325.4
412545.6
Blue115
255748.2
460821.1
36038.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112106050150200250300350181115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.2
44.445.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
48.20.1
48.048.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.51.2
42.343.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
360
#2
38.20.1
38.138.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#16
25.41.2
24.225.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4608
#18
21.10.1
21.021.1
Auto
Teleop
End