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Red57
371135.1
322023.6
378917.8
Blue145
451328.5
408226.3
412025.1
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7057010015020025057145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#17
35.10.6
30.329.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
4513
#19
28.55.3
21.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3220
#11
23.60.5
23.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4082
#24
26.35.3
22.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3789
#28
17.80.6
13.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
25.15.3
15.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End