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Red121
406143.5
292325.4
412545.6
Blue83
378917.8
451328.5
412025.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10462015020025012183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.4
39.940.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
4513
#19
28.50.2
27.527.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.50.4
37.838.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
25.10.2
24.124.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#16
25.40.4
19.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
3789
#28
17.80.2
16.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End