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Red137
406165.7
403826.7
159548.3
Blue145
358853.3
323841.5
378922.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153110050200250300350137145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.70.2
67.767.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
53.30.5
53.453.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.30.2
50.250.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
41.50.5
41.642.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#32
26.70.2
28.728.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3789
#19
22.00.5
22.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End