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Red69
403826.7
159548.3
406165.7
Blue115
378922.0
358853.3
323841.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15111105020025030035069115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.71.3
67.065.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
53.30.0
53.353.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.31.3
49.548.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
41.50.0
41.641.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#32
26.71.3
27.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3789
#19
22.00.0
22.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End