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Red257
403826.7
159548.3
406165.7
Blue123
451327.8
260524.2
412020.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152550100200250300257123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.72.0
64.466.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.0
4513
#13
27.80.9
26.927.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.32.0
46.948.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
2605
#28
24.20.9
23.324.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#32
26.72.0
25.327.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
4120
#34
20.50.9
19.720.5
Auto
Teleop
End