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Red155
511119.6
498027.5
369341.9
Blue36
451327.8
410414.9
135918.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7463010015020025030035015536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3693
#16Sur
41.94.1
37.541.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
4513
#13Sur
27.81.4
33.732.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4980
#10Sur
27.54.1
22.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
1359
#20Sur
18.42.4
17.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5111
#9Sur
19.64.1
11.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4104
#27Sur
14.91.4
13.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End