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Red117
358853.3
159548.3
383110.2
Blue68
417316.1
298011.8
412548.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9459015020025030011768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#4Sur
53.31.4
47.448.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4125
#8Sur
48.50.2
48.048.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1595
#1Sur
48.31.4
31.032.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.2
4173
#15Sur
16.10.2
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3831
#26Sur
10.21.4
10.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2980
#21Sur
11.80.2
14.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End