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Red191
451327.8
417316.1
406165.7
Blue73
381239.8
498027.5
412020.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767920406010012014016018019173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.75.7
43.949.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.9
39.80.2
27.927.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4513
#13
27.85.7
32.237.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4980
#10
27.50.2
26.926.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4173
#15
16.15.7
1.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
4120
#34
20.50.2
23.122.8
Auto
Teleop
End