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Red126
214822.2
298011.8
323841.5
Blue32
383110.2
449513.6
357514.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603405010015020012632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.53.5
24.928.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.5
3575
#30
14.00.3
17.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2148
#11
22.23.5
16.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4495
#18
13.60.3
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2980
#21
11.83.5
15.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3831
#26
10.20.3
9.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End