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Red115
410414.9
323841.5
291030.2
Blue112
412020.5
406165.7
292620.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531010150200250115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.7
28.431.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.2
65.70.9
55.156.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2910
#12
30.22.7
20.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
4120
#34
20.50.9
21.922.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4104
#27
14.92.7
10.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2926
#22
20.40.9
16.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End