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Red13
371213.4
357514.0
460817.3
Blue100
260524.2
417316.1
323841.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4756020408010012014013100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4608
#23
17.31.8
19.217.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.2
41.52.2
31.133.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3575
#30
14.01.8
17.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
2605
#28
24.22.2
17.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3712
#17
13.43.0
12.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4173
#15
16.12.2
6.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End