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Red48
369341.9
298011.8
260524.2
Blue143
498027.5
323841.5
383110.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836305010015020048143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3693
#16
41.91.6
41.940.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
41.53.8
35.839.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2605
#28
24.21.6
25.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
4980
#10
27.53.8
24.027.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2980
#21
11.81.6
12.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3831
#26
10.23.8
6.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End