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Red180
131865.2
297632.0
198353.9
Blue101
491540.9
445040.0
241238.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156114050200250300350400180101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
Unranked
65.20.5
64.765.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.4
4915
Unranked
40.90.3
41.240.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1983
Unranked
53.90.5
53.453.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
4450
Unranked
40.00.3
40.340.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2976
Unranked
32.00.5
31.532.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
2412
Unranked
38.30.3
38.638.3
Auto
Teleop
End