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Red40
94821.9
291015.2
297632.0
Blue145
131865.2
366328.6
255749.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6918405010015025030035040145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
Unranked
32.02.3
28.826.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.3
1318
Unranked
65.21.1
64.263.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
Unranked
21.92.3
35.332.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.4
2557
Unranked
49.21.1
64.163.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2910
Unranked
15.22.3
22.920.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
3663
Unranked
28.61.1
38.537.4
Auto
Teleop
End